Committee working material
Imperial County 20 MW Scale-and-Siting Framework
Desktop working paper | September 18, 2026
The policy choice
Imperial County should regulate projects by the load IID can actually evaluate and serve, not by a hypothetical 300-330 MW campus. IID’s current Large Load Tariff applies to a customer requesting at least 20 MW with an 80% minimum load factor. That makes 20 MW a defensible planning unit, but not a promise of available capacity at any site. Every candidate still requires an IID system-impact, facilities, power-supply and interconnection determination.
Proposed scale framework
Anti-evasion rule: aggregate adjacent parcels, affiliates, shared substations and phased buildings under common control. A 100 MW campus is not five unrelated 20 MW projects.
Pass/fail gates for a 20 MW site
- Power: IID identifies a feasible point of interconnection, deliverable MW and MWh, upgrade scope, schedule, curtailment priority and applicant cost. Line proximity alone does not pass.
- Water: independently reconciled potable, process/cooling and fire-flow budgets. Prefer air or closed-loop cooling; identify the actual water purveyor and legally available supply.
- Land compatibility: industrial entitlement or a clear entitlement path; adequate acreage, drainage and road access; separation from homes, schools, hospitals and incompatible agricultural operations.
- Backup generation: disclose MW, fuel, annual test/run hours, emissions, noise and fuel storage. Large engine farms near housing or light-industrial neighbors fail even if emergency-only on paper.
- Developer proof: parcel control, financing evidence, equipment deposits, schedule, and security for IID/county costs before public money or capacity is reserved.
- Verification after opening: revenue-grade interval meter, annual water and generator-hour reporting, noise/air testing, permit audit rights, enforceable load ramp, decommissioning security and automatic expiration for missed milestones.
First-pass six-site screen
These are study areas, not recommended parcels and not findings of available 20 MW service.
Gateway of the Americas, east Calexico port
- Why screen it
- 1,775-acre planned industrial area; IID completed a Gateway Substation expansion in 2026 for industrial/commercial growth
- Land/use and compatibility
- Large industrial setting and border/logistics access; map buffers to Calexico housing, port/security uses and Alamo River
- Water
- Confirm service capacity and industrial allocation; older plan is not proof of present water
- Generation implication
- Industrial setting is better than a residential edge, but engine count/noise/air still need a parcel buffer
- First fatal-flaw question
- Can IID deliver a firm 20 MW block after committed Gateway growth, and can the local water/sewer systems serve it?
Imperial Industrial Park / Imperial Substation area
- Why screen it
- 121 acres marketed as industrial-zoned; historical 92-kV Imperial Substation record
- Land/use and compatibility
- Reuse of a former cotton-processing/industrial site is preferable to greenfield; verify parcel ownership, active tenants, nearest residences and airport constraints
- Water
- Identify current purveyor, fire flow and cooling supply; marketing page gives no capacity proof
- Generation implication
- Existing industrial use may reduce conflict, but on-site generation should be sited at the interior with modeled noise/air
- First fatal-flaw question
- Is there a parcel with both control and a feasible 20 MW IID interconnection without displacing productive industry?
Luckey Ranch / Brawley industrial area
- Why screen it
- Historical 45.24-acre M-1/light-industrial plan; Brawley has a 92-kV substation/line corridor
- Land/use and compatibility
- Industrial designation and acreage are promising; screen distance to Brawley homes, airport, rail and agricultural operations
- Water
- Confirm City of Brawley water/wastewater capacity and drought/fire-flow constraints
- Generation implication
- Avoid the city edge for a full engine yard; BESS plus limited emergency generation may fit better
- First fatal-flaw question
- Which parcel is close enough electrically but far enough from homes, and what headroom exists at Brawley?
Mesquite Lake / Keystone Specific Plan
- Why screen it
- About 5,100 acres planned for light, medium and heavy industry, offering room for buffers
- Land/use and compatibility
- Strong land-use concept and scale; however the plan itself says major infrastructure is limited and needs substations, water/sewer, roads and drainage
- Water
- A reclamation facility was planned at 2.5 MGD initial/15 MGD ultimate, but current existence/capacity is unverified
- Generation implication
- Large buffers make backup generation more manageable, but infrastructure creation could erase the site’s advantage
- First fatal-flaw question
- Has the water/reclamation and electric infrastructure actually been built, and who pays to bring 20 MW to a parcel?
Holtville industrial/substation area
- Why screen it
- Existing Holtville substation and a permitted 100-MW BESS show a meaningful grid node
- Land/use and compatibility
- Vacant/light-industrial land exists, but the BESS record and local reporting identify nearby homes and a high school. Use only parcels with a demonstrable buffer
- Water
- Confirm city water/sewer and fire flow; no desktop capacity proof
- Generation implication
- This is the clearest warning site: a large generator yard near homes/school should fail compatibility even if the grid works
- First fatal-flaw question
- Is there a different parcel on the node with adequate separation, or should Holtville be excluded?
Niland/Calipatria geothermal-generation corridor
- Why screen it
- Existing Niland generation and project records showing a nearby IID 230-kV corridor make this a logical grid-oriented screen
- Land/use and compatibility
- Rural/energy landscape can provide buffers; evaluate Salton Sea, geothermal, habitat, flood, seismic, air-quality and environmental-justice constraints
- Water
- Potable/process supply is likely the hard gate; test reclaimed/non-potable options and avoid open-loop cooling
- Generation implication
- Better physical separation for engines, but cumulative air burden and disadvantaged-community impacts matter
- First fatal-flaw question
- Can IID identify deliverable load at a suitable node, and is there a lawful low-water cooling/fire plan?
Control case: the Aten/Clark corridor
The Aten/Clark proposed-campus corridor is electrically relevant because the applicant’s study identifies IID’s 230-kV S line and 92-kV R line. It is treated here as a control case, not as a presumed-suitable site: an open question for the committee is whether a smaller 20 MW phase on a better-buffered parcel resolves the land-use conflict. Applicant-hosted feasibility material is not an IID will-serve commitment.
Claims awaiting verification
The following circulating claims are unverified and should be treated as open questions, not established facts:
- Largest single load in Imperial Valley: unverified. IID can answer this in anonymized or banded form without naming a customer.
- $600 million: industry benchmarks show traditional facility construction around $9.8-$13.3 million per MW of IT capacity in Phoenix/Silicon Valley, with U.S. liquid-cooled AI facilities averaging 7-10% more. That implies roughly $196-$266 million for a 20 MW IT facility before the AI premium, with scope caveats. Servers, land, utility upgrades and the difference between utility load and IT load can move the total sharply. $600 million may be plausible for a fully equipped AI project, but it is not a safe generic estimate. It is plainly too low as total construction cost for 300 MW.
Proposed committee action
Direct staff and IID to return with a 20 MW suitability atlas: six to ten study areas, parcel-level buffers, existing zoning, distance to 92/161/230-kV facilities, water purveyor and capacity, flood/airport/habitat constraints, and IID’s red/yellow/green feasibility status. Publish the methodology, not customer-confidential system details. The atlas should show where a right-sized project could work and what evidence any applicant must provide before the County spends time on a proposal.
Sources
- IID/APPA large-load tariff: https://www.publicpower.org/periodical/article/imperial-irrigation-district-board-unanimously-approves-large-load-tariff
- IID guardrails: https://www.iid.com/Home/Components/News/News/1399/30
- IID service maps: https://www.iid.com/power/about-iid-power/power-service-maps
- Gateway Substation: https://www.iid.com/Home/Components/News/News/1452/
- Gateway planning area: https://publicworks.imperialcounty.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Boyle-Engineering-Report-February-2007-Gateway.pdf
- Imperial Industrial Park: https://imperialindustrialparks.com/indoor-facilities/
- Imperial Substation: https://ceqanet.lci.ca.gov/2002071076
- Luckey Ranch: https://ceqanet.opr.ca.gov/2002101107
- Brawley 92-kV project: https://ceqanet.lci.ca.gov/1995102131
- Mesquite Lake plan: https://www.icpds.com/assets/planning/ordinances/title-9-div-5b-mesquite-lake-specific-plan.pdf
- Keystone reclamation record: https://ceqanet.lci.ca.gov/2010011090
- Holtville grid/industrial record: https://ceqanet.lci.ca.gov/2023110549
- Niland plant: https://www.energy.ca.gov/powerplant/simple-cycle/niland-gas-turbine-plant
- North-county 230-kV project record: https://imperial.granicus.com/MetaViewer.php?clip_id=375&meta_id=47331&view_id=2
- Cost trends: https://reports.turnerandtownsend.com/data-centre-construction-cost-index-2025/data-centre-cost-trends
- Cost methodology: https://reports.turnerandtownsend.com/data-centre-construction-cost-index-2025/methodology